What will be the impact of AIMIM's entry in the politics of UP?
the Bhagidari Sankalp Morcha consists of small parties doing politics of different caste particulars. With the arrival of Asaduddin Owaisi on this front, the possibility of a breach in the Muslim vote bank has also increased. Asaduddin Owaisi has announced that his party will contest 100 assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh.
NEW DELHI: The entry of AIMIM Chief Asaduddin Owaisi in the politics of Uttar Pradesh has raised the political mercury of the state to the seventh sky. Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party chief Om Prakash Rajbhar has already given a setback by making the SP's exercise of forming an alliance with smaller parties a 'Bhagidari Sankalp Morcha' before the UP assembly elections 2022. At the same time, due to the joining of Asaduddin Owaisi in this 'Bhagidari Sankalp Morcha' formed by the alliance of small parties, there has been a stir in the political parties doing caste-class and religion-specific politics in UP.
Actually, the Bhagidari Sankalp Morcha consists of small parties doing politics of different caste particulars. With the arrival of Asaduddin Owaisi on this front, the possibility of a breach in the Muslim vote bank has also increased. Asaduddin Owaisi has announced that his party will contest 100 assembly seats in Uttar Pradesh. Speculations are rife that most of these seats may be Muslim majority or influenced by Muslim voters. AIMIM state president Shaukat Ali has claimed in a conversation with 'Aaj Tak' that the party has also identified assembly seats. At present, looking at this alliance, it can be said that another political option has opened in front of the people of the state in the 2022 UP assembly elections. In this situation, the question is bound to arise that what will be the impact of AIMIM's entry in the politics of UP?
In the states where Owaisi contested, his choice was Muslim majority seats. Due to which the game of political parties which considered the Muslim community as 'vote bank' started getting spoiled. Because of which he was accused of the 'B' team. The vision of AIMIM, which is trying to establish a foothold in Uttar Pradesh, has already become clear. At the same time, Asaduddin Owaisi, who advocated Shariat through constitutional rights, is very popular among Muslim youth across the country. Owaisi's speeches on the rights of Muslims are widely shared on social media. In all the states where the AIMIM made up its mind to contest elections outside Telangana, it has got something or the other. The victory may not have been achieved in West Bengal, but the party was promoted across the country through the media.
What is the difference between West Bengal and UP?
AIMIM Chief Asaduddin Owaisi moved to West Bengal after winning 5 seats in the Bihar assembly elections. It is a different matter that Owaisi was defeated in understanding Bengal. By the way, Owaisi was not alone among those who were defeated. He was accompanied by the Congress, the Left, Abbas Siddiqui's ISF, and the BJP. The defeat in West Bengal was not as big a setback for AIMIM as it was for the BJP. Despite all the defectors and the entire Lashkar in West Bengal, the BJP could not show any miracle. At the same time, Asaduddin Owaisi's alliance with Abbas Siddiqui's ISF did not materialize.
By the way, Owaisi, who won 5 assembly seats in Bihar, had joined hands with the BSP in the state. The BSP did not get many benefits from the alliance with Owaisi. But, AIIMIM had done wonders. In UP also, Asaduddin Owaisi, who came out in search of alliance with BSP, was made a 'rumor' by party supremo Mayawati. But, Owaisi, who knew the strength of the alliance, resolved to participate in Omprakash Rajbhar's front. The major reason for getting a place in the Participatory Sankalp Morcha is also being told that there is no Muslim leader in the front.
With his entry in West Bengal, Asaduddin Owaisi first came to meet Abbas Siddiqui. The alliance that Owaisi wanted to join the Muslims of Bengal could not happen. Actually, Owais himself was making a dent in Siddiqui's vote bank, so the alliance did not work out. Any other party also refused to hold hands, so the AIMIM itself contested on fewer seats and escaped the big blemish of defeat. At the same time, Asaduddin Owaisi's party has got a weak shoulder with the help of Participatory Sankalp Morcha in Uttar Pradesh, which is famous for caste and religious politics.
Anyway, AIMIM has nothing special to lose in Uttar Pradesh. In the 2017 assembly elections too, the party had won 'zero' by contesting 38 seats. AIMIM got a total of 205,232 votes. If the vote percentage was 0.2, then according to this these figures may prove to be small. But, arithmetic does not only teach you to calculate percentages. The votes of AIMIM, which got a little over two lakh votes, divided by the number of 38 seats, show that the party got about 5400 votes in each seat. In many seats in Uttar Pradesh, the margin of victory and defeat is even less.
If the alliance of AIMIM with Bhagidari Sankalp Morcha continues till the UP assembly elections 2022, then surely the 'vote bank' of SP, Congress, and BSP can be robbed. Talking about contesting elections on 100 assembly seats, Owaisi has made it clear that on these seats, he will do burglary in votes. Now, who will be more or less harmed by this, if they want, they can make an alliance with AIMIM after calculating the political parties. By the way, in Uttar Pradesh, the newly formed Partnership Sankalp Morcha appears to be another form of 'pressure politics'.